Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | alessandro smanio | 9-5 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | jiří kračman | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | kyohei murayama | 6-6 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Boros Tokens , Gruul Aggro , Gruul Delirium , Izzet Cauldron , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro , Temur Battlecrier
Meta Performance Analysis
Fire Prophecy ranks #1502 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 29%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Fire Prophecy is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 2
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 5.91 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Fire Prophecy has a win rate of 57.1%, making it 20.2% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Apart | Sorcery | 7 | 61.4% | 1 |
| Thrill of Possibility | Instant | 6 | 59.9% | 0 |
| Brazen Borrower | Creature — Faerie Rogue | 5 | 58.1% | 0 |
| Narset, Parter of Veils | Legendary Planeswalker — Narset | 5 | 58.0% | 0 |
| Shock | Instant | 8 | 57.6% | 0 |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 8 | 57.0% | 1 |
| Miscast | Instant | 7 | 55.6% | 0 |
| Into the Roil | Instant | 6 | 54.1% | 0 |
| Ox of Agonas | Creature — Ox | 10 | 53.5% | 1 |
| Scorching Dragonfire | Instant | 16 | 52.0% | 2 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Fire Prophecy than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light of Hope | Instant | 1 | 6 | 74.1% | 55.4% | +18.7% |
| Essence Scatter | Instant | 2 | 10 | 70.6% | 59.4% | +11.2% |
| Shock | Instant | 1 | 6 | 67.5% | 56.6% | +10.9% |
| Thrill of Possibility | Instant | 2 | 6 | 65.6% | 54.7% | +10.9% |
| Scorching Dragonfire | Instant | 2 | 12 | 68.5% | 57.8% | +10.7% |
| Brazen Borrower | Creature — Faerie Rogue | 3 | 8 | 66.7% | 56.7% | +9.9% |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 1 | 7 | 65.7% | 56.4% | +9.3% |
| Scavenging Ooze | Creature — Ooze | 2 | 5 | 66.7% | 57.7% | +9.0% |
| Disdainful Stroke | Instant | 2 | 17 | 64.0% | 57.0% | +7.1% |
| Make Disappear | Instant | 2 | 5 | 65.2% | 58.7% | +6.5% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | 36 | 4.8% | 42.2% |
| Izzet Prowess | 22 | 2.2% | 45.8% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 7 | 1.6% | 30.5% |
| Jeskai Control | 7 | 2.0% | 26.0% |
| Gruul Delirium | 2 | 1.2% | 14.3% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.